← GGA Grand Archive ALC Regional
Fire NeosTier 2
at GGA Grand Archive ALC Regional
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1200
· median 1200
· range 1200–1200
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1131
Q1 1148
Q3 1251
1365
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 23.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.2% | -14.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Wind Arisanna | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Neos decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
